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2003年12 期
| 標(biāo)題 |
| 神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)與四階段預(yù)測法在鐵路運(yùn)量預(yù)測中的組合應(yīng)用研究(25 卷) |
| 英文標(biāo)題 |
| Study on the Joint Application of Neural Network and Four-Stage Predict Method in Railway Transport Volume Prediction |
| 摘要 |
| 利用神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)與四階段預(yù)測法組合構(gòu)造出新的交通量預(yù)測模型，以膠濟(jì)鐵路提速改造為例，就構(gòu)造的客運(yùn)量預(yù)測模型進(jìn)行了應(yīng)用研究。其中以平均增長率法計算客流量的交通分布；以重力模型法計算誘發(fā)客流；依據(jù)運(yùn)輸阻力構(gòu)建的分擔(dān)率模型計算轉(zhuǎn)移客流；在計算誘發(fā)客流時考慮了時間價 |
| 作者 |
| 新聞作者:王增兵，李遠(yuǎn)富 |
| 關(guān)鍵字 |
